Our AGI progress meter is stuck at 42%. It's been there for months. The models keep getting better. The meter doesn't care.
The Situation
- Models improve monthly
- Benchmarks keep breaking
- New capabilities emerge
- Meter: still 42%
Why It's Stuck
The meter measures general intelligence, not specific capabilities. Better coding doesn't mean AGI. Better reasoning doesn't mean AGI. AGI means general intelligence.
What Would Move It
- True reasoning across domains
- Genuine understanding, not pattern matching
- Ability to learn new tasks without training
- General problem-solving capability
The Reality
We're making progress. But progress toward AGI is slow. The meter reflects that. It's honest, even if it's frustrating.
The Takeaway
Don't watch the meter. Watch the capabilities. When we see actual general intelligence, the meter will move. Until then, 42% it is.